Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.030322 0.034499 0.039077 0.044470 0.050660 0.057549 0.065811
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.023287 0.028825 0.035455 0.044001 0.054761 0.067909 0.085267
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.020113 0.026353 0.034282 0.045150 0.059739 0.078760 0.105626
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.017330 0.023763 0.032340 0.044693 0.062160 0.086176 0.122039
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.015858 0.022627 0.032040 0.046202 0.067173 0.097403 0.144859
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013806 0.020379 0.029855 0.044657 0.067467 0.101725 0.157900
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012339 0.018786 0.028388 0.043914 0.068732 0.107447 0.173552
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010881 0.017031 0.026467 0.042203 0.068206 0.110192 0.184584
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.010366 0.016679 0.026653 0.043812 0.073127 0.122134 0.212279
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009897 0.016342 0.026811 0.045357 0.078058 0.134562 0.242280
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009472 0.016027 0.026957 0.046867 0.083047 0.147568 0.274868
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008778 0.015186 0.026126 0.046565 0.084738 0.154809 0.297483
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008118 0.014358 0.025266 0.046170 0.086302 0.162146 0.321583
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007523 0.013592 0.024449 0.045775 0.087833 0.169614 0.347007
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007210 0.013310 0.024478 0.046969 0.092551 0.183792 0.388142
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.006709 0.012627 0.023694 0.046492 0.093858 0.191217 0.415761
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006503 0.012490 0.023931 0.048066 0.099528 0.208284 0.466984
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005951 0.011627 0.022675 0.046455 0.098294 0.210478 0.484494
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005541 0.011012 0.021860 0.045680 0.098768 0.216421 0.511547
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005066 0.010226 0.020629 0.043896 0.096817 0.216694 0.524883
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.004966 0.010203 0.020972 0.045573 0.102864 0.235990 0.588205
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.004861 0.010164 0.021273 0.047185 0.108931 0.256031 0.656341
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004757 0.010115 0.021548 0.048759 0.115079 0.276986 0.729978